October 27, 2013
Extreme Weather Imminent in South West England!
The storm is set to deepen rapidly just to the south west of the UK late today, before moving into western areas in the very early hours of Monday morning.
It's then expected to track rapidly across the country, moving off into the North Sea by late morning – by which time the strongest winds will have passed.
Gusts of 60-70mph are expected in southern parts of England and Wales, with gusts of 80mph or more in places – particularly around southern and south western coasts.
Heavy rain will accompany the storm, with a chance of some localised surface water flooding.
There are currently 36 flood alerts in South West England, together with 3 red flood warnings, all for the Dorset coast:
The most recent Met Office surface level pressure chart (courtesy of MeteoCiel.fr) shows a higher central pressure for the storm than yesterday:
The wind forecasts from the Global Forecast System suggest that Northern France will actually fare worse than Southern England over the next few hours. Here's the maximum gust forecast for 10 PM tonight:
It's a bit hard to make out in amongst all the arrows, but the South West is left of centre about halfway down, on the edge of the large red area. The brightest red band represents 85-90 km/h, or around 55 mph in Imperial units. Here's how things look 3 hours later at 1 AM on Monday:
The nearest automated weather station to my current location is over on the other side of the Teign Valley at Bridford. It is currently reporting the calm before the St. Jude Storm:
We'll take another look tomorrow morning (if not before) to see what's been happening to it in the meantime!
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