September 15, 2013

Ingrid Becomes the Second "Atlantic" Hurricane of 2013

According to the 10th public advisory bulletin concerning Ingrid, issued by the National Hurricane Center at 21:00 UTC yesterday evening:

INGRID BECOMES THE SECOND HURRICANE OF THE 2013 SEASON.

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED [BY THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO] FROM CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES…AND FROM SOUTH OF CABO ROJO TO TUXPAN.

As you can tell from that report, Ingrid has actually formed in the Gulf of Mexico close to the Mexican coast. According to the latest bulletin #12a:

INGRID CONTINUES A SLOW APPROACH TOWARD THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO, AND HAS NOT STRENGTHENED FURTHER. ON THE FORECAST TRACK INGRID SHOULD REACH THE COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH (140 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM THE CENTER, AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES (150 KM). THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB (29.12 INCHES).

INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA EARLY MONDAY, WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT. HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA EARLY MONDAY.

A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF INGRID MAKES LANDFALL. NEAR THE COAST THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

Here is Ingrid's current 5 day forecast track:

NHC forecast track for Hurricane Ingrid at 07:00 CDT on Sunday September 15th, 2013

NHC forecast track for Hurricane Ingrid at 07:00 CDT on Sunday September 15th, 2013

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Comments on Ingrid Becomes the Second "Atlantic" Hurricane of 2013 »

September 16, 2013

Jim @ 8:17 am

The most recent NHC public advisory bulletin for Ingrid states that:

INGRID [IS] EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL IN NORTHEASTERN MEXICO LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 MPH (120 KM/H). MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB (29.21 INCHES).

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CABO ROJO TO LA PESCA.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF LA PESCA TO BAHIA ALGODONES.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTH OF LA PESCA TO RIO SAN FERNANDO, AND SOUTH OF CABO ROJO TO TUXPAN

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

Meanwhile the BBC also reports on events on the other side of Mexico:

At least nineteen people have been killed in Mexico, which is being battered by two powerful storms.

Hurricane Ingrid has caused floods and sent thousands to emergency shelter on Mexico's Gulf Coast. It is expected to make landfall later on Monday.

On the Pacific coast, Tropical Storm Manuel has brought two days of torrential rains and caused widespread damage.

The area around the seaside resort of Acapulco has been badly affected.

The severe weather led to the cancellation of Independence Day celebrations in many Mexican towns.

Thousands of people have been forced to leave their homes.

On the Gulf of Mexico, more than 6,000 people have been evacuated ahead of Hurricane Ingrid – a category one storm.

Jim @ 12:05 pm

In their 7:00 AM CDT bulletin the NHC say that:

INGRID WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM AS IT MAKES LANDFALL
NEAR LA PESCA. HEAVY RAINS [ARE] SPREADING INLAND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 MPH (100 KM/H). MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 991 MB (29.26 INCHES)

INGRID IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER A LARGE PART OF EASTERN MEXICO, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN AREAS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

September 17, 2013

Jim @ 12:51 pm

The BBC reports this morning that:

Residents of eastern Mexico were hit by Hurricane Ingrid, which was downgraded to a tropical storm shortly before it made landfall on Monday morning near the town of La Pesca.

Mexican authorities have declared a state of emergency in more than 20 towns in eastern Tamaulipas state.

More than 20,000 people were evacuated in the state of Veracruz. Twelve people died when a landslide near the town of Altotonga buried workers trying to clear a road from debris and passengers waiting in a bus to pass.

At least 20 highways and 12 bridges were damaged, according to Veracruz's civil protection authority. In Guerrero, 9,000 people remain in shelters after their homes were flooded

Residents living along the river Panuco have been evacuated as it is feared it could break its banks later on Tuesday.

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